Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.275411 0.320397 0.372194 0.436650 0.515272 0.608776 0.729470
2025-08-03 0.209408 0.266956 0.341242 0.445951 0.592679 0.795564 1.105711
2025-08-10 0.170317 0.231424 0.316984 0.449217 0.655425 0.977452 1.546210
2025-08-17 0.144319 0.205862 0.297620 0.450221 0.710073 1.160356 2.065614
2025-08-24 0.124865 0.185182 0.279810 0.447063 0.754064 1.337139 2.657843
2025-08-31 0.109291 0.167373 0.262444 0.439402 0.786130 1.501017 3.310623
2025-09-07 0.100173 0.158245 0.257319 0.451453 0.857914 1.771001 4.379054
2025-09-14 0.089641 0.145076 0.242780 0.442253 0.883081 1.947019 5.322472
2025-09-21 0.082615 0.136951 0.235882 0.446439 0.938438 2.219429 6.780110
2025-09-28 0.076021 0.128691 0.227374 0.445350 0.981145 2.478205 8.437047
2025-10-05 0.071937 0.124503 0.226029 0.459430 1.065871 2.900081 11.218332
2025-10-12 0.067953 0.119986 0.223301 0.469741 1.144311 3.346519 14.736309
2025-10-19 0.064183 0.115546 0.220323 0.479512 1.227103 3.867503 19.603451
2025-10-26 0.061123 0.112185 0.219206 0.493924 1.330374 4.542139 26.966891
2025-11-02 0.057636 0.107548 0.214621 0.498470 1.405133 5.161208 35.676032
2025-11-09 0.054293 0.102843 0.209233 0.499786 1.470510 5.796439 46.755316
2025-11-16 0.050985 0.097868 0.202568 0.496236 1.518316 6.393501 60.017176
2025-11-23 0.047706 0.092636 0.194640 0.487544 1.544770 6.909314 74.990151
2025-11-30 0.045972 0.090630 0.194248 0.501233 1.665161 8.098868 108.785591
2025-12-07 0.043131 0.085876 0.186483 0.490783 1.683302 8.674747 136.152663
2025-12-14 0.041280 0.083208 0.183666 0.495537 1.770234 9.838532 191.442441
2025-12-21 0.039299 0.080063 0.179255 0.494300 1.830930 10.901103 261.311615
2025-12-28 0.038210 0.078906 0.179912 0.510300 1.982188 12.949644 420.241062